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Capacity headroom forecast

Estimate how many months remain before a resource reaches its safe limit, given growth.

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Reliability & managed IT services

How it's worked out

  • Months = ln(threshold ÷ current) ÷ ln(1 + growth)
  • Steady compound growth; linear capacity scaling
NoteUse peak, not average, utilisation. Compound growth assumes the recent trend continues.

Source: ITIL capacity and performance management; Google SRE book (capacity planning)

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